Poker is a game that requires a deep understanding of probability, statistics, and psychology. Despite the complexity of the game, many poker players still rely on superstition, emotions, and flawed reasoning to make decisions at the table. One common delusion among poker players is their perception of all-in equity (EV) lines.
The original poster (OP) shared his experience with variance in poker, stating that even if he played perfectly, his actual win rate could be significantly lower due to luck and other factors. He also mentioned that many poker players struggle to cope with variance, which makes it difficult to determine whether their poker game is profitable or not.
The first response came from a fellow player who emphasized the importance of tracking one's mistakes and analyzing them off the table. This individual kept a record of his bad calls and plays, and by doing so, he discovered that if he avoided making mistakes, his win rate would be significantly higher than his current actual win rate.
Another player chimed in, sharing his own experience with variance in poker. He mentioned that even with a relatively high skill level, his actual win rate could still fluctuate greatly due to luck and other factors. This player also emphasized the importance of learning to fold and avoiding mistakes at the table.
A third player pointed out that many poker players are deluded about their all-in EV lines, stating that even small variations in their play can result in significant changes to their overall win rate. He encouraged players to focus on improving their game rather than getting discouraged by short-term results., poker is a game that requires a deep understanding of probability, statistics, and psychology. Players must be aware of the delusions that can affect their decision-making at the table and strive to improve their game through analysis and self-reflection. By doing so, they can develop a more realistic understanding of their all-in EV lines and make more informed decisions at the table.
#Tentang Variance dalam Poker
Poker adalah sebuah permainan yang memerlukan pengertian mendalam tentang probabilitas, statistik, dan psikologi. Meskipun kompleksitas permainan, banyak pemain poker masih bergantung pada superstisi, emosi, dan penalaran yang kurang tepat untuk membuat keputusan di meja.
Postingan awal (OP) berbagi pengalaman tentang varian dalam poker, menegaskan bahwa bahkan jika ia bermain secara sempurna, win rate-nya dapat jauh lebih rendah karena faktor-faktor lain. Ia juga mengemukakan bahwa banyak pemain poker sulit menanggapi varian, yang membuat sulit untuk mengetahui apakah game poker-nya profitable atau tidak.
Pertama-tama, seorang pemain lain berbagi pengalaman tentang pentingnya tracking kesalahan dan analisisnya di luar meja. Pemain ini mempertahankan rekam jejak keputusan yang salah dan play-nya, dan dengan demikian, ia menemukan bahwa jika ia menghindari kesalahan, win rate-nya akan jauh lebih tinggi daripada win rate-nya saat ini.
Pemain lain berbagi pengalaman tentang varian dalam poker. Ia mengatakan bahwa bahkan dengan level kemampuan yang relatif tinggi, win rate-nya dapat masih fluctuasi besar karena faktor-faktor lain. Pemain ini juga menekankan pentingnya belajar untuk folding dan menghindari kesalahan di meja.
Pemain ketiga menjelaskan bahwa banyak pemain poker delusi tentang garis all-in EV mereka, menyatakan bahwa bahkan variasi kecil dalam play-nya dapat menghasilkan perbedaan signifikan pada win rate-nya. Ia mendorong para pemain untuk fokus pada memperbaiki game-nya daripada menjadi frustasi dengan hasil jangka pendek.
Dalam kesimpulan, poker adalah sebuah permainan yang memerlukan pengertian mendalam tentang probabilitas, statistik, dan psikologi. Pemain harus sadar akan delusi-delusi yang dapat mempengaruhi keputusan di meja dan berupaya untuk memperbaiki game-nya melalui analisis dan refleksi diri. Dengan demikian, mereka dapat mengembangkan pengertian yang lebih realistis tentang garis all-in EV-nya dan membuat keputusan yang lebih informasi di meja.